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For landowners weighing an offer and developers checking a residual

How Much Is Land Worth With Planning Permission? The Residual Method, Explained

Sviatoslav JerdetchiiCEO & Founder of Craftex. Updated , 9 min read

Aerial view over green playing fields and terraced streets in east London with the City and Canary Wharf skyline behind

The short answer

Land with planning permission is worth what a developer can pay for it and still build the consented scheme at a normal profit. That figure comes from a residual appraisal, not from a multiplier or an online calculator.

  1. Start with the gross development value: what the finished homes or units would sell or let for.
  2. Take off build cost, fees, planning obligations, finance and the developer's profit. What is left is the land.
  3. Affordable housing, CIL, Section 106 and abnormal costs come off the land line, so the consent you hold sets the price.
  4. Before planning, buyers pay hope value: a discount for the risk of refusal. After planning, the risk moves to the build cost.

How much is land worth with planning permission? It is worth what a developer can pay for it and still build the consented scheme at a normal profit. Take the sale value of the finished homes, deduct every cost of building them and the developer's return, and the land is what remains.

That is the residual method, and it is the only honest land value calculator there is.

This guide is written from the builder's side. We price schemes unit by unit and build them, so we see where land offers go wrong. It explains the arithmetic in plain words, what each line looks like in London in 2026 and what quietly cuts the number.

Planning to sell land to a developer, or checking a residual before you buy? Get a free site appraisal and we will run the figures on your site.

Why there is no single multiplier for land value with planning permission

Landowners are often told that planning permission multiplies the value of a field or a yard by a round number. It does not. Permission removes one risk, the risk of refusal, and leaves every other variable in place.

White architectural model of houses and apartment blocks along a street
The consented scheme sets the value. Ten flats and four houses on the same plot give two different land values.

Two consents on the same plot give two different land values. One allows ten flats, the other four houses. Each has its own sales value, build cost and planning obligations. The land is worth whatever is left after each, and the two figures can be far apart.

Location changes the answer again. The same scheme costs more to build on a tight corner site than on an open field. The finished homes sell for more in one postcode than in another. A multiplier knows none of this. A residual appraisal knows all of it.

The residual method: how land value with planning permission is calculated

The residual method starts with the finished value and works backwards. Surveyors value development land this way under the RICS standard for development property. Developers use the same arithmetic to decide what they can offer.

The residual method in words
LineWhat it isWho sets it
Gross development valueWhat the finished homes or units would sell or let for, unit by unitThe market, from recent comparable sales
Build costEverything from demolition to the last coat of paint, plus the contractor's preliminariesThe contractor, from the drawings
ContingencyAn allowance for what nobody has found yetThe surveys, or the lack of them
Professional feesArchitect, engineers, planning consultant, surveyors, project managementThe design team
Planning obligationsAffordable housing, Community Infrastructure Levy, Section 106The council and the Mayor
Sales and financeAgents, legal costs, marketing, interest on the money borrowedThe lender and the programme
Developer's profitThe return the developer and the lender require for the riskThe lender's terms and the market
Residual land valueWhat is left: the most a developer can pay for the landThe arithmetic

Then take off the costs of buying the land: stamp duty land tax, legal and agent's fees. The remainder is the price a developer can actually offer. Tax rates can change, and there is a Budget on 28 October 2026, so check the current rates with a tax adviser.

The line-by-line mechanics are in our guide to development appraisal, GDV and residual land value explained. This article is about what the lines look like for a London site today, and what moves them.

Each line of the residual in London in 2026

The method is the same everywhere. The numbers are not. These are the lines that decide a London land value this year.

Gross development value: the top line sets everything

Every line below GDV is a cost. GDV is the only line that puts money in. It should come from recent sales of comparable homes in the same postcode, not from an average price per square foot. A forecast built on hope overstates the land value, and the sale falls over when the buyer's lender runs the numbers.

Build cost: the line a contractor should price, not a spreadsheet

Build cost is the biggest deduction and the one most often guessed. Costs in London vary with the site: access, ground conditions, party walls, a basement, a listed neighbour. They have also moved since the last index many appraisals still use.

A cost plan priced from the drawings by the team that will build the scheme is worth more than any benchmark. Our guide to abnormal costs in construction lists what a desk estimate misses.

Planning obligations: what the consent gives back to the council

Affordable housing lowers GDV, because affordable homes sell to a registered provider for less than open-market homes. The Community Infrastructure Levy is a fixed charge per square metre of new floorspace, with the Mayor's levy on top of the borough's. Section 106 adds site-specific obligations. Our guide to CIL and Section 106 explained covers how each is calculated.

Finance, fees and profit: the lines the lender writes

Finance depends on how long the money is out, so a slow consent or a slow build costs land value. Professional fees are a proportion of build cost.

Developer's profit is set by what a lender will fund. For plan-making viability, national guidance treats 15% to 20% of GDV as a suitable return to developers. Real schemes are priced on the risk of the site and the terms of the lender.

What reduces land value with planning permission

The consent you hold decides the price more than the land under it. These are the things that cut the number, and most of them are set before the application goes in.

35%affordable housing threshold for the Mayor's Fast Track Route on private land
50%the threshold on public land under the same guidance
20%minimum affordable housing by habitable room under London's time-limited route to 31 March 2028
0planning spend on your side under an option or promotion agreement with us
  1. Affordable housing. Affordable homes sell for less, so they lower GDV and the land value with it. In London, schemes offering at least 35% affordable housing without public subsidy use the Mayor's Fast Track Route and skip a viability assessment. On public land the threshold is 50%.
  2. CIL and Section 106. Both come off the land line. If nobody assumes CIL liability it defaults to the landowners, and it is due as soon as development starts.
  3. Abnormal costs. Contaminated ground, a culvert, piling, an asbestos strip-out or a party wall award all reduce what is left for the land.
  4. Conditions and the clock. Pre-commencement conditions delay the start, and a permission lapses if work does not begin in time. Both cost finance and both cost land value. Our guide covers how long planning permission takes.
  5. An undeliverable consent. A scheme the council approved but no builder can deliver at the assumed cost is worth less than its drawings suggest. Price it before you consent it.

A time-limited London route published in March 2026 sets a lower bar until 31 March 2028. Private-land schemes with at least 20% social and affordable housing by habitable room can apply, with at least 60% of that at social rent.

National guidance is blunt about the other direction. The price paid for land is not a reason to cut affordable housing or any other policy requirement. Overpay for a site, and the appraisal does not get adjusted. The loss is yours.

Hired Craftex for our conversion project. We had to convert a 600m2 office into 8 apartments. Guys did an excellent job in terms of program efficiency and quality of the finishes which gave us a big upside to exit the project 2 months faster than other competitors’ timelines.

Misha Levit, Google reviewSee all reviews on Google

Hope value, benchmark land value and the price before planning

Before planning, land has two values. Its existing use value is what it is worth as a field, a yard or a depot. Hope value is the extra a buyer will pay for the chance of a consent.

The gap between hope value and the residual after planning is the uplift. It is what our land value uplift and planning gain page is about.

Hope value is not a right. Since 30 April 2024 a compulsory purchase order in England can direct that the prospect of planning permission is ignored when compensation is assessed. The power, in section 190 of the Levelling-up and Regeneration Act 2023, covers schemes delivering affordable housing, schools and health facilities. A permission already granted still counts.

Three figures, three questions. Hope value is what land might fetch before planning. Residual land value is what a developer can pay after it. Benchmark land value is what the council assumes when it tests whether your scheme can afford more affordable housing.

What your land is worth with planning permission: sell, option or promote

How you reach the consented value matters as much as the value itself. There are three routes, and each shares the risk and the gain differently.

Aerial view of a green field bordered by rows of houses in Medway, Kent, under a rain cloud
A field at the edge of a town is worth its existing use plus hope value until a consent turns the hope into arithmetic.

Sell now, without planning. You take hope value and the buyer takes the planning risk. It is the fastest route and the lowest price. An overage clause can give you a share if the buyer later does better than expected. Our guide to the overage clause on a land sale explains how it is drafted.

Option agreement. The developer pays for the planning and holds the right to buy at a discount to the consented value once permission is granted. You carry no planning cost, but the buyer is also the party setting the price. Read buying land with or without planning permission to see how the other side thinks.

Promotion agreement. A promoter funds and runs the planning, then the land is sold on the open market and the proceeds are shared. Both parties want the highest price. Our comparison of option vs promotion agreement vs joint venture sets the three side by side.

Under an option or promotion agreement with us, we fund and run the planning. The terms are written for each scheme before anything starts. We never quote a value for your land before a director has looked at it. A value without a costed scheme behind it is a guess.

Why a land value calculator gets it wrong, and what to use instead

Online land value calculators work from a price per acre, or a fixed share of sales value. Neither knows your consent, your build cost, your planning obligations or your lender. A number from a calculator is a conversation starter at best. It is not a figure to sign heads of terms on.

The calculator that works is a costed scheme

The calculator that works is a development appraisal and feasibility study built on a costed scheme. At Allitsen Road in St John's Wood we drew four options for one vacant corner building. They ranged from four apartments to seven, using the basement and roof.

Each was costed, tested against Westminster and London Plan standards, and had its affordable housing, CIL and vacancy credit quantified. We advised the client against our own most expensive option, around £240k of excavation, because the residual did not support it.

That is the difference a builder's number makes. Our Development Director acquired more than £225M of land and delivered more than 4,000 homes in his previous housebuilding roles.

Craftex has built since 2016, keeps about 60% of its labour in-house and has delivered every project ahead of programme and on budget. We work on development schemes from £3M to £150M GDV and construction from £100,000.

Send us the site and the consent, or the idea. Get a free site appraisal and a director runs the residual on a costed scheme. You see every line and what the land supports.

Before you accept an offer for land with planning permission

  • Ask for the residual behind the offer: GDV by unit, build cost, obligations, finance and profit.
  • Check the build cost line against a contractor's price from the drawings, not a benchmark.
  • Confirm the affordable housing, CIL and Section 106 assumed, and who pays each.
  • Read the decision notice for conditions, the start deadline and anything that adds cost.
  • Decide the route: sale, option or promotion, and which party sets the price on each.
  • Take tax advice before heads of terms, because the structure changes what you keep.

Frequently asked questions

How much does planning permission add to land value?

There is no fixed figure. Planning turns hope value into a residual value: the developer's finished sales value, less the cost of building the consented scheme, less profit. The gain depends on what was consented, what it costs to build in that location and what the council took in affordable housing, CIL and Section 106. The same field can be worth very different amounts under two different consents.

Is there a land value calculator I can use?

Online land value calculators apply a price per acre or a percentage of sales value. Neither knows your consent, your build cost or your planning obligations, so the answer is a guess. The honest calculator is a residual appraisal: gross development value minus every development cost and a profit. We run that for you free on a costed scheme.

What is hope value?

Hope value is the extra a buyer will pay for land because it might get planning permission in future, over its value in its current use. It is lower than the value with permission because the risk of refusal is priced in. Since 30 April 2024 a compulsory purchase order in England can direct that this prospect is ignored for schemes delivering affordable housing, schools or health facilities.

What is residual land value?

Residual land value is the most a developer can pay for a site and still make a normal return on the scheme. It is the gross development value less build costs, contingency, professional fees, planning obligations, sales costs, finance and the developer's profit. It is the figure behind every serious offer for land with planning permission.

Does affordable housing reduce land value?

Yes. Affordable homes sell to a registered provider for less than open-market homes, so they lower the gross development value of the scheme and the land value with it. In London the Mayor's threshold approach lets schemes offering at least 35% affordable housing without subsidy skip a viability assessment, and a time-limited route published in March 2026 sets a lower minimum for applications validated by 31 March 2028.

Who pays CIL, the landowner or the developer?

The Community Infrastructure Levy is paid by whoever assumes liability for it, usually the developer. If nobody assumes liability, government guidance says it defaults to the landowners, and it becomes due as soon as development starts. In London the Mayor's levy is charged on top of the borough's. Either way, a developer prices CIL into the residual, so it comes off the land.

Should I get planning permission before selling my land?

Getting planning first removes the refusal risk from the price, but you carry the cost, the time and the risk of a consent no builder can deliver. An option or promotion agreement lets a developer or promoter fund and run the planning and shares the consented value with you. The right route depends on your timescale, your appetite for risk and how much of the planning cost you want to carry.

What is an overage clause?

An overage clause is a term in the sale contract that gives you a share of any future gain, for example if the buyer later gets a better planning permission or sells at a higher price. It protects a landowner who sells before the value is fully proven. The trigger, the share and the period are negotiated, and the drafting decides whether it ever pays out.

Know what your land supports before you agree a price

Send us the site, with or without planning. We run the residual appraisal on a costed scheme, show you every line, and tell you whether to sell, option or promote. No charge, no obligation.

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